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Arzbin Blog

Daily market insights, analysis, and guides for the Iranian financial market.

Libyan 'Angel of Death' Faces ICC; Oil Prices Dip as Trump Eyes Quick Iran War End
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

Libyan 'Angel of Death' Faces ICC; Oil Prices Dip as Trump Eyes Quick Iran War End

«فرشته مرگ» لیبی در دادگاه لاهه؛ قیمت نفت با وعده پایان سریع جنگ ایران توسط ترامپ کاهش یافت

A former Libyan prison chief, dubbed the 'Angel of Death,' has appeared before the International Criminal Court facing charges of crimes against humanity. Meanwhile, global oil prices saw a dip following President Trump's assertion that a resolution to the Iran conflict is imminent, even as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz shows signs of normalization.

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UK Eases Russian Oil Sanctions Amid Hormuz Blockade; IRGC Warns of War 'Beyond the Region'
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

UK Eases Russian Oil Sanctions Amid Hormuz Blockade; IRGC Warns of War 'Beyond the Region'

نرمش بریتانیا در تحریم‌های نفتی روسیه؛ هشدار سپاه پاسداران درباره گسترش جنگ به خارج از مرزها

As energy prices soar due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, the UK has softened sanctions on Russian crude, sparking tension with Kyiv. Meanwhile, the IRGC warns of a global escalation if US attacks resume, driving the Toman to new lows.

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Trump's GOP Consolidation Continues; Iran Leader Warns of 'Heavier Burden'
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

Trump's GOP Consolidation Continues; Iran Leader Warns of 'Heavier Burden'

تثبیت جمهوری‌خواهان توسط ترامپ ادامه دارد؛ رهبر ایران هشدار داد: «بار سنگین‌تر»

Donald Trump has solidified his grip on the Republican party by defeating key critics in primary elections, signaling a potential shift in US foreign policy. Meanwhile, Iran's Supreme Leader issued a stark warning about national resistance, placing increased pressure on officials amidst ongoing global tensions.

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From Geneva Rhetoric to Hormuz Tankers: Why the Toman is Crossing 180,000
Explainer20 May 20261 min

From Geneva Rhetoric to Hormuz Tankers: Why the Toman is Crossing 180,000

از لفاظی‌های ژنو تا تانکرهای هرمز: چرا دلار از مرز ۱۸۰ هزار تومان عبور کرد؟

As the USD hits 180,600 Toman, we analyze how the 'Solidarity' rhetoric in Geneva contrasts with supertankers exiting the Gulf and rumors of a Trump-Vance deal. Understand the 'Risk Premium' driving Iranian markets today.

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Iran's Diplomatic Stance Amidst Escalating Tensions; UK Eases Russian Sanctions
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

Iran's Diplomatic Stance Amidst Escalating Tensions; UK Eases Russian Sanctions

ایران: دیپلماسی ارجح است، اما آماده جنگ؛ بریتانیا تحریم‌های روسیه را تسهیل کرد

Iran signals a preference for diplomacy but readiness for conflict as US tensions rise. Meanwhile, the UK has eased sanctions on Russian crude oil, a move drawing criticism amidst global energy market shifts and ongoing geopolitical maneuvers.

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Trump’s 72-Hour Ultimatum to Tehran Sparks Market Volatility as USD Hits 180,600
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

Trump’s 72-Hour Ultimatum to Tehran Sparks Market Volatility as USD Hits 180,600

ضرب‌الاجل ۷۲ ساعته ترامپ به تهران؛ جهش دلار به ۱۸۰ هزار تومان در سایه تهدیدهای نظامی

President Trump has issued a high-stakes 'two to three day' deadline for Iran to reach a deal, while the US Senate narrowly voted to curb his war powers. Amidst the escalating rhetoric, the Iranian Toman has weakened by 1.0%, pushing the USD/IRR exchange rate to a record 180,600.

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Araghchi’s ‘Surprise’ Warning Rallies Markets: Bitcoin Holds $77k Amid Gulf Tension
Hourly Digest20 May 20261 min

Araghchi’s ‘Surprise’ Warning Rallies Markets: Bitcoin Holds $77k Amid Gulf Tension

هشدار «غافلگیرکننده» عراقچی و واکنش بازارها؛ بیت‌کوین در مرز ۷۷ هزار دلار آرام گرفت

Foreign Minister Araghchi warns of new military capabilities if conflict resumes, while Bitcoin traders weigh the possibility of a peace deal. Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz remains a central point of global economic leverage.

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The 'Ahmadinejad Plot' Revealed: Inside the Alleged Israeli Plan for Regime Change in Tehran
Morning Recap20 May 20261 min

The 'Ahmadinejad Plot' Revealed: Inside the Alleged Israeli Plan for Regime Change in Tehran

افشای طرح محرمانه اسرائیل برای بازگرداندن احمدی‌نژاد؛ زلزله سیاسی در تهران و بازارهای جهانی

A shocking report claims Israeli strikes aimed to install Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as Iran's leader, while the UK loosens Russian oil sanctions amidst a tightening Hormuz blockade. As Trump issues a weekend ultimatum, the global energy and political landscape faces an unprecedented week of volatility.

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Trump Courts Middle East Allies Amid Iran Stalemate; Housing Market Woes Persist
Hourly Digest19 May 20261 min

Trump Courts Middle East Allies Amid Iran Stalemate; Housing Market Woes Persist

ترامپ در میانه بن‌بست ایران، متحدان خاورمیانه‌ای را به سوی خود می‌خواند؛ مشکلات بازار مسکن ادامه دارد

As diplomatic efforts to resolve the Iran conflict falter, President Trump is reportedly turning to Middle East allies for solutions, while Tehran stages mass weddings amid escalating threats. Meanwhile, Iran's domestic housing market faces significant challenges, leaving tenants with limited options.

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Trump Issues Weekend Ultimatum: ‘Big Hit’ Looming as Tehran-Washington Brinkmanship Peaks
Hourly Digest19 May 20261 min

Trump Issues Weekend Ultimatum: ‘Big Hit’ Looming as Tehran-Washington Brinkmanship Peaks

ترامپ ضرب‌الاجل تعیین کرد: تهدید به «ضربه بزرگ» در صورت شکست مذاکرات تا پایان هفته

President Trump has signaled a return to military action if a deal with Iran is not reached by the weekend, even as markets show a fragile calm. Meanwhile, Tehran strengthens its diplomatic corridor with Beijing to hedge against renewed US pressure.

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Iran Leader Links Power to Population; Crude Oil Navigates Hormuz Gap
Hourly Digest19 May 20261 min

Iran Leader Links Power to Population; Crude Oil Navigates Hormuz Gap

رهبر ایران: قدرت کشور به رشد جمعیت گره خورده؛ نفت خام از تنگه هرمز عبور می‌کند

Iran's Supreme Leader emphasizes population growth as key to national power, while global crude oil finds alternative routes around the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, US politics sees Trump threatening further action against Iran, adding to regional tensions.

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Deutsche Bank: Iran War Lacks Key Ingredients for Market Selloff; Tehran Seeks Mexico Ties
Hourly Digest19 May 20261 min

Deutsche Bank: Iran War Lacks Key Ingredients for Market Selloff; Tehran Seeks Mexico Ties

دویچه بانک: جنگ ایران فاقد مؤلفه‌های کلیدی برای سقوط بازار است؛ تهران خواهان روابط با مکزیک

Deutsche Bank suggests the ongoing Iran conflict, despite its gravity, lacks three critical elements typically preceding major market selloffs. Meanwhile, Iran's ambassador to Mexico expresses eagerness to initiate a new phase in bilateral relations, signaling a potential diplomatic pivot.

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