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Arzbin Blog

Daily market insights, analysis, and guides for the Iranian financial market.

Starmer Defies Resignation Calls as UK Gilts Hit 28-Year High; US Iran War Bill Soars to $29B
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

Starmer Defies Resignation Calls as UK Gilts Hit 28-Year High; US Iran War Bill Soars to $29B

پافشاری استارمر بر قدرت و جهش نرخ بهره در بریتانیا؛ هزینه جنگ ایران برای آمریکا به ۲۹ میلیارد دلار رسید

British PM Keir Starmer is fighting for his political life as UK borrowing costs skyrocket to levels not seen since 1998. Meanwhile, the Pentagon has revised the cost of the Iran conflict upward to $29 billion as the UK deploys more assets to the Strait of Hormuz.

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Low-Ambition Summit: Trump and Xi Grapple with Iran War Fallout as Global Inflation Surges
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

Low-Ambition Summit: Trump and Xi Grapple with Iran War Fallout as Global Inflation Surges

نشست کم‌رمق ترامپ و شی زیر سایه جنگ ایران؛ جهش تورم جهانی و تغییر موازنه در خلیج فارس

As Donald Trump heads to China for a high-stakes summit with Xi Jinping, the ongoing conflict in Iran has forced both leaders to scale back their diplomatic goals. Meanwhile, soaring energy costs have pushed US inflation higher, impacting everything from airfares to social security projections.

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Warsh’s Fed Entry and the $29B War Bill: Why Tehran’s Markets Are Catching a Breather
Daily News12 May 20261 min

Warsh’s Fed Entry and the $29B War Bill: Why Tehran’s Markets Are Catching a Breather

ورود «وارش» به فدرال رزرو و فاکتور ۲۹ میلیارد دلاری جنگ؛ چرا بازار تهران نفس تازه کرد؟

Despite a staggering $29 billion price tag for the regional conflict and new friction in the Persian Gulf, the Toman and gold saw a slight correction tonight. We analyze how Kevin Warsh’s confirmation to the Fed and the 'uncertainty tax' are shaping your purchasing power.

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Kuwait Foils IRGC Infiltration as Gulf Tensions Surge; US Bond Yields Hit 5% Amid War-Driven Inflation
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

Kuwait Foils IRGC Infiltration as Gulf Tensions Surge; US Bond Yields Hit 5% Amid War-Driven Inflation

خنثی‌سازی عملیات نفوذ در کویت و تنش در خلیج فارس؛ بازدهی اوراق قرضه آمریکا به ۵ درصد رسید

Kuwait has accused Iran's Revolutionary Guard of a failed infiltration attempt on Bubiyan Island, adding a fresh layer of risk to an already volatile Persian Gulf. Meanwhile, global markets are reeling as US Treasury yields hit 5%, driven by persistent inflation and the economic fallout of regional conflict.

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Pentagon Revises Iran War Bill to $29B as US Political Tensions Boil Over Hakeem Jeffries Comments
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

Pentagon Revises Iran War Bill to $29B as US Political Tensions Boil Over Hakeem Jeffries Comments

افزایش هزینه جنگ با ایران به ۲۹ میلیارد دلار در پنتاگون؛ تنش‌های نژادی در واشینگتن بالا گرفت

The Pentagon has admitted the two-month cost of the conflict with Iran has surged to $29 billion, while US domestic politics fracture over racially charged remarks. Meanwhile, global markets struggle with a three-year inflation peak and a persistent energy crisis.

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The Secret Base Paradox: Why Gold and USD Slipped Despite Escalating Regional Tensions
Comparison12 May 20261 min

The Secret Base Paradox: Why Gold and USD Slipped Despite Escalating Regional Tensions

پارادوکس پایگاه مخفی: چرا طلا و دلار برخلاف تنش‌های منطقه‌ای عقب‌نشینی کردند؟

As reports emerge of a covert Israeli outpost in Iraq, the Tehran market reacted with a surprising 1.5% dip in gold prices. We explore whether physical assets are losing their 'safe haven' status to digital alternatives like USDT and Bitcoin in 2026.

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France’s Farmer-Owned Retail Model Defies Iran War Inflation as US Conflict Costs Hit $29 Billion
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

France’s Farmer-Owned Retail Model Defies Iran War Inflation as US Conflict Costs Hit $29 Billion

مدل خرده‌فروشی کشاورزان فرانسه در برابر تورم جنگ ایران؛ هزینه ۲۹ میلیارد دلاری نبرد برای آمریکا

As the Pentagon reports a $29 billion bill for the Iran conflict, French farmers launch direct-to-consumer supermarkets to combat soaring fuel and fertilizer costs caused by the Hormuz blockade.

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EBay Rejects GameStop Bid; US Inflation Climbs Amid Iran War; Brazil Oil Surges to China
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

EBay Rejects GameStop Bid; US Inflation Climbs Amid Iran War; Brazil Oil Surges to China

ای‌بِی پیشنهاد گیم‌استاپ را رد کرد؛ تورم آمریکا در بحبوحه جنگ ایران افزایش یافت؛ نفت برزیل به چین سرازیر شد

EBay has firmly rejected GameStop's substantial $56 billion acquisition offer, a move that reverberates through the business world and brings renewed attention to cryptocurrency's potential role in corporate finance. Meanwhile, US inflation hit a concerning 3.8% in April, directly linked to ongoing energy cost surges driven by the Iran conflict. In energy markets, Brazil's oil exports to China have dramatically increased, reshaping global crude flows.

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Iran Warns of 90% Enrichment as Hormuz Blockade Chokes Global Supply Chains
Hourly Digest12 May 20261 min

Iran Warns of 90% Enrichment as Hormuz Blockade Chokes Global Supply Chains

هشدار ایران درباره غنی‌سازی ۹۰ درصدی همزمان با بحران زنجیره تأمین در تنگه هرمز

Tensions reach a boiling point as Iranian lawmakers warn of weapons-grade uranium enrichment if attacked, while the ongoing Hormuz blockade forces global giants like Japan's Calbee to alter products due to chemical shortages. In Tehran, the USD rose to 183,400 Toman as markets react to the escalating rhetoric.

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US-Iran Tensions Flare, Oil Prices Climb as Peace Hopes Fade; Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid Geopolitical Jitters
Morning Recap12 May 20261 min

US-Iran Tensions Flare, Oil Prices Climb as Peace Hopes Fade; Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid Geopolitical Jitters

تنش‌ها بین آمریکا و ایران شعله‌ور شد، قیمت نفت صعودی، امیدهای صلح کمرنگ؛ بیت‌کوین در میان نوسانات ژئوپلیتیک ثابت ماند

Overnight, US-Iran relations deteriorated further as President Trump declared the ceasefire 'on life support' and Tehran responded defiantly, immediately impacting global oil prices. Meanwhile, Bitcoin held its ground around $81,000, navigating geopolitical risks and upcoming US economic data. Shipping opacity in the Strait of Hormuz also raised new concerns for global trade.

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Oil to Stay Above $100 as Trump Rejects Iran Peace Bid; USD Hits 181,800 Toman
Hourly Digest11 May 20261 min

Oil to Stay Above $100 as Trump Rejects Iran Peace Bid; USD Hits 181,800 Toman

نفت ۱۰۰ دلاری و رد پیشنهاد صلح ایران توسط ترامپ؛ دلار به ۱۸۱,۸۰۰ تومان رسید

Oil prices are set to remain in the triple digits for the rest of 2026 as JP Morgan warns of long-term supply shocks, while President Trump officially rejected Iran's latest peace proposal as 'unacceptable.' The resulting geopolitical friction has pushed the US Dollar to 181,800 Toman and the Emami gold coin to a historic 200 million Toman mark.

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UK Labour Rocked by Resignations as Iran Truce on 'Life Support'; Toman Slides Amid Rising Tensions
Hourly Digest11 May 20261 min

UK Labour Rocked by Resignations as Iran Truce on 'Life Support'; Toman Slides Amid Rising Tensions

استعفای دستیاران وزیران، حزب کارگر بریتانیا را شوکه کرد؛ آتش‌بس ایران در 'مراقبت‌های ویژه'؛ تومان در بحبوحه تنش‌ها سقوط می‌کند

Political turmoil grips the UK Labour party as ministerial aides resign, demanding Keir Starmer's exit, signaling instability in a major global power. Simultaneously, US President Trump declares the Iran truce on 'life support,' raising fears of an escalating energy crisis and pushing the Toman lower against the dollar. Global economic and geopolitical anxieties are on the rise, impacting everything from housing markets to commodity prices.

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